Going for Gold with Predictive Alpha

By Mike Burnick

Just in case you’ve been living in Greenland and a bit out of touch, precious metals have been on fire so far in 2026 – and that’s on top of spectacular gains for gold and silver last year. 

Gold has gained 80% over the past year, putting the S&P 500’s 18% rise to shame. Silver is on an even bigger winning streak, up 250% over the past year – including a 35% silver streak higher this month. 

There are plenty of catalysts to propel precious metals higher these days, including: 

  • Persistent weakness for the U.S. dollar… 
  • Soaring government debts and deficits, both in the U.S. and globally… 
  • Inflation that remains sticky above the Federal Reserve’s comfort level… 
  • And geopolitical jitters just about everywhere you look worldwide.  

All of these factors – and more – have conspired to ignite an unprecedented rally in precious metals and other commodities.  

And gold’s glittering gains may just be getting started. 

Respected economist Ed Yardeni has a $6,000 price target for the yellow metal by the end of 2026 – and he’s forecasting $10,000 gold by the end of the decade! 

With that in mind, I put together a simple TradeSmith screener that scans our database for stocks in the gold and silver mining sectors – with an important trade timing twist… 

I also consulted our Predictive Alpha AI-powered price projection algorithms to find precious-metals stocks that could deliver solid upside moves in the near future.  

First, let me brief you on how to use the Predictive Alpha price projections. Then we’ll build a Trade Smith Screener using it. So, let’s dive right in. 

Digging for Gold Profits with Predictive Alpha 

Predictive Alpha leverages AI-driven data analytics to generate daily price projections for thousands of stocks (and some ETFs) in our database.  

It delivers detailed price trend projections up to 21 trading days into the future. Our software wizards harness the learning power of AI to build customized models for each individual stock, based on its unique historical trading patterns and market behavior.  

To show you just how easy it is to use these price projections to earn frequent potential profits, here’s a screenshot with a detailed Predictive Alpha projection for one of the gold and silver stocks that landed on my screener results. 

This screenshot above shows the Predictive Alpha Stock view for Anglogold (AU), highlighting a 20-day, AI-driven price projection.  

The top box and detail panel on the right display AU’s expected price move (+11.71%), projected target price ($122.26), the prime projection date when that price move is most likely to occur, and the historical target accuracy (83.59%) – which highlights the day with the highest odds of the stock moving in the projected direction.  

And in the lower-left corner, you’ll see a visual forecast price range. A black “X” marks the spot of the stock’s current price.  

The Greek “Alpha” icon at the right end of the dotted blue line indicates where the price is projected to move by the prime projection date.  

The shaded blue area is the potential price forecast. The wider the band, the higher the uncertainty, while a narrower band indicates higher confidence. 

Now, let’s get to the really fun stuff: how to easily build a TradeSmith Screener with Predictive Alpha to find gold and silver stocks with a high probability of moving up in price… 

Building a Screener with Predictive Alpha 

For this Screener you need just two filters, as shown above: 

First, under Markets & Classification, select Industries and choose Gold & Silver from the drop-down menu. 

Next, under the Predictive Alpha category, add the Prime Expected Move filter and set it to more than (>) 5%.   

This will screen only for gold and silver stocks that Predictive Alpha expects to move up 5% or more within the next 21 days or less – giving you a big edge in terms of trade timing. 

If you don’t see this valuable tool in your TradeSmith Finance platform – and would like to – give our telesales team a call at 888-585-5963 to find out how to get access to Predictive Alpha.  

When I ran this screen yesterday, I got 33 results, with the top 10 shown below:  

I then sorted the list by the largest Predictive Alpha expected moves at the top. You can easily reference each stock’s Prime Projection date, Projected target price, and Expected move – including AU, highlighted above. 

Mike Burnick’s Bottom Line: Gold and silver have been shooting higher, and the stocks that produce these precious metals could deliver even bigger upside. With Predictive Alpha, you can quickly zero in on gold and silver stocks with high- probability upside moves projected over the next few weeks.  

Good investing, 

Mike Burnick 

Senior Analyst, TradeSmith