Costco Wholesale Has Fallen More Than 10% From Its Peak Before. Here's What History Says Happens Next.

Costco's stock has declined over 18% from its May 2026 peak. Historically, the stock recovered to new highs within 12 months in 5 of 7 previous 10% declines. However, recent exceptions (2022 and 2025) suggest caution, as recovery took much longer when valuations were steep. Currently trading at a P/E of 47.3 (above the 10-year average of 40), the stock may drift sideways as earnings catch up, though long-term investors may find it a buying opportunity.

10/17/2026, 7:30 PM • The Motley Fool

What the Latest Fed Decision Means for Costco, Walmart, Target, and Home Depot

The Federal Reserve's 0.25% rate hike in September, with inflation at 3.7%, signals potential additional hikes in 2026. Rising interest rates affect retail stocks differently: Costco and Walmart are positioned to benefit from higher inflation and affluent consumers trading down, while Home Depot faces headwinds from reduced home improvement spending due to higher mortgage rates. Target's turnaround momentum could be threatened by inflation-weary consumers seeking bargains.

10/16/2026, 8:54 AM • The Motley Fool

If I Could Only Buy and Hold 1 Stock Heading Into the Eye of a Stock Market Storm, This Would Be It

Costco is recommended as a defensive stock choice during potential market downturns. The retailer demonstrates resilience through strong same-store sales growth (6.7% Q4, 6.6% annually), expanding operating profits (13.8% Q4 growth), high membership renewal rates (89.8%), and consistent warehouse expansion (25 new locations added). Despite economic headwinds including inflation and rising interest rates, Costco's value proposition and membership model continue to attract and retain customers.

10/15/2026, 4:05 PM • The Motley Fool

Costco Wholesale Stock Loses to 10-Year U.S. Treasury Notes on Yield. Here's Why It Wins on Everything Else.

While 10-year U.S. Treasury notes currently yield 5.2% compared to Costco's 0.6% dividend yield, the article argues Costco is the better long-term investment. A $10,000 investment in Costco 10 years ago would be worth nearly $75,000 with reinvested dividends, versus $11,800 from Treasury notes. Costco's growing business, rising dividend (up 13.2% annually over five years), and special dividends outweigh the Treasury's higher current yield for patient investors with a 10+ year horizon.

10/12/2026, 3:03 PM • The Motley Fool

History Says This Is the Amount of Yearly Dividend Income a $10,000 Investment in Costco Stock Could Generate by 2031 (Without Even Considering Special Dividends)

Costco's dividend has grown 86% over the past five years, with current quarterly payouts of $1.47 per share. If historical growth rates continue, a $10,000 investment could generate approximately $115 in annual dividend income by 2031 (1.15% yield), plus potential special dividends. The company's strong fundamentals, consistent same-store sales growth, and $20.2 billion cash position support optimistic dividend growth prospects.

10/11/2026, 7:14 AM • The Motley Fool

Costco Stock Is 14% Below Its Record. History Says Buyers Have Usually Been Rewarded.

Costco stock has fallen 14% from its May record to around $942. Historically, such drops have led to gains within a year in 7 of 9 instances since 2010, with a median return of 21%. September's comparable sales growth of 7.6% (up from 5.4% in August) suggests the slowdown has reversed. However, at 45x earnings, the current valuation resembles the 2022 drops that saw minimal gains, prompting the analyst to recommend gradual buying rather than aggressive investment.

10/11/2026, 4:21 AM • The Motley Fool

Great News for Costco Investors

Costco stock, which had underperformed the S&P 500 this year with only 3.5% gains, received a boost after reporting strong September results. The company's revenue growth accelerated to 13% year-over-year, driven by 11.4% comparable sales growth. U.S. comparable sales surged 12.5%, reversing previous slowdown concerns, with comparable sales excluding gas stations still solid at 7.6%. The strong performance suggests inflation is driving more customers to Costco's warehouse model.

10/09/2026, 9:21 AM • The Motley Fool

5 Stocks That Have Doubled Their Dividend in the Last 7 Years to Buy in October

Five consumer stocks—Williams-Sonoma, Domino's Pizza, TJX Companies, Lowe's, and Costco Wholesale—have all more than doubled their dividends since 2019. Each company is backed by specific growth initiatives: Williams-Sonoma's AI shopping assistants, Domino's loyalty program expansion, TJX's off-price retail strength, Lowe's professional contractor market acquisitions, and Costco's strong membership renewal rates. However, some face headwinds like Domino's slower sales and Costco's declining comparable sales growth.

10/07/2026, 4:15 AM • The Motley Fool

Should You Invest $1,000 in Costco Stock in October?

Costco is a high-quality business with durable demand, massive scale, and consistent earnings growth of 14.7% annually over the past decade. However, the author recommends patience rather than immediate investment, citing a steep price-to-earnings ratio of 44.3, despite shares trading 16% below their peak. The stock is suitable for quality-focused investors but not a screaming buy at current valuations.

10/06/2026, 5:30 AM • The Motley Fool

Costco Is Down 10% in 6 Months While the S&P 500 Is Up 17%. Is Costco Too Cheap to Pass Up Under $900 a Share?

Costco's stock has underperformed the S&P 500 by 27 percentage points over the last six months, despite growing revenue, profits, and membership renewal rates. While the company maintains a premium valuation compared to retail peers due to strong membership loyalty, the article argues that at current prices, Costco is not as cheap as it appears. Headwinds from tariffs and fuel costs, combined with elevated valuations, suggest investors seeking faster growth may find better opportunities elsewhere.

10/06/2026, 5:15 AM • The Motley Fool

Split $7,500 Evenly Across These 3 Dividend Stocks and Ignore Them Until 2046

The article recommends investing $2,500 each in Coca-Cola, Costco, and Walmart as long-term dividend stocks suitable for a 20-year buy-and-hold strategy. Coca-Cola has raised dividends for 63 consecutive years with a 2.4% yield, Costco offers stock appreciation and special dividends with strong renewal rates, and Walmart combines dividend growth with significant stock appreciation and technological innovations.

10/04/2026, 3:01 PM • The Motley Fool

Even If Costco Doesn't Pay a $10 or $15 Special Dividend in 2027, I'd Still Buy the Stock

Costco is a compelling long-term investment regardless of whether it pays a special dividend in 2027. The warehouse retailer demonstrates strong fundamentals including nearly 90% membership renewal rates, growing customer base (84.1 million paid members), expanding store count (939 stores in fiscal 2026, targeting 967 in fiscal 2027), and a loyal customer base driven by bulk pricing and private-label Kirkland Signature brand. With $20.2 billion in cash on hand, a special dividend remains possible but is not necessary to justify ownership.

10/01/2026, 9:23 AM • The Motley Fool

Should Investors Buy Costco Stock Instead of Walmart Stock?

The article compares Costco and Walmart, two retailers with similar business models. Costco is highlighted as having a meaningfully better inventory turnover ratio, suggesting superior operational efficiency compared to Walmart.

09/29/2026, 9:15 PM • The Motley Fool

Is Costco's Stock Overdue for a Big Rally?

Costco's business remains strong with 11% net sales growth and 6.7% adjusted comparable growth in Q4 FY2026, outperforming market expectations. However, the stock has underperformed the S&P 500 this year (up 7% vs. 13%), trading at a steep 45x trailing earnings multiple. Despite solid fundamentals, the high valuation limits near-term upside potential, making it a safe long-term hold rather than a near-term rally candidate.

09/28/2026, 9:28 AM • The Motley Fool

Costco Costs More Than $920 a Share. Here's Why I'd Still Buy One.

Despite Costco's high share price of $922.77, the article argues it remains a compelling investment. The warehouse operator posted strong quarterly earnings with 10% revenue growth and faster bottom-line expansion. With a low beta of 0.01, 22 consecutive years of dividend increases, and an expected special distribution, Costco offers recession-resistant value even at current valuations.

09/27/2026, 1:07 PM • The Motley Fool