Is a 53% Decline a Stopping Point for the SpaceX Stock Price? History Offers This Answer.

SpaceX stock has declined 52% from its post-IPO high and may face further pressure ahead of its Q2 2026 earnings report on Aug. 4 and insider selling on Aug. 6. However, historical precedent from Meta's 2012 IPO suggests that a 53% decline could represent a market bottom and buying opportunity, as Meta recovered with 140% gains over the next 12 months and 3,250% long-term gains. SpaceX's $28.5 trillion addressable market, particularly in AI infrastructure and space-based data centers, could provide significant upside for long-term investors.

08/02/2026, 11:26 AM • The Motley Fool

Why Aug. 4 Could Be a Big Day for the Stock Market

SpaceX will report its first earnings as a public company on Aug. 4, with investors expecting 68% year-over-year revenue growth. However, the upcoming unlock of insider shares on Aug. 6 could trigger significant selling pressure. The analyst warns that massive growth expectations (100% revenue growth projected for 2026-2027) may be unrealistic, particularly for the AI infrastructure business with potentially low profit margins. The stock is recommended to be avoided before earnings and watched for a lower entry point.

08/01/2026, 6:37 PM • The Motley Fool

Prediction: Rocket Lab Will Turn Profitable and Free-Cash-Flow-Positive in 2027 -- Thanks to Iridium

Rocket Lab announced an $8 billion acquisition of satellite company Iridium, with an expected mid-2027 closing. The combined company is projected to become profitable and free-cash-flow-positive by 2027, with analysts forecasting $137 million in earnings and $425 million in positive free cash flow. The acquisition positions Rocket Lab as a vertically integrated space company offering satellite communications, positioning/navigation/timing, and IoT services—markets where SpaceX has limited presence.

08/01/2026, 6:06 AM • The Motley Fool

Forget SpaceX's Upcoming Q2 Results. History Says You Should Wait at Least This Long Before Buying SpaceX Stock.

Historical data suggests investors should wait until mid-2027 or later before buying SpaceX stock, despite the company's recent IPO and operational achievements. Large IPOs typically underperform their market index by 4% over three years, and SpaceX's high P/S ratio of 76 (versus tech sector average of 9) indicates overvaluation. Additionally, accelerating capital expenditures in AI investments raise concerns about future returns.

07/31/2026, 3:19 PM • The Motley Fool

Elon Musk Says SpaceX Short-Sellers Have a "Very Low" Survival Probability. Is He Right?

Elon Musk warned that short-sellers betting against SpaceX have low survival probability, but the article notes that statistically, newly IPO'd stocks often decline in the first six months. While Musk's warning may be self-serving, SpaceX's real business fundamentals and Musk's qualification of 'over time' suggest short-sellers face significant long-term risks despite near-term statistical headwinds.

07/31/2026, 12:14 PM • The Motley Fool

SpaceX Is Down Nearly 50% From Its All-Time High -- That's Great News for Long-Term Investors

SpaceX stock has fallen 50% from its all-time high of $225 to $112.20, shedding $1.2 trillion in market value. While the company still carries a $1.5 trillion valuation that appears expensive by traditional metrics, the declining price makes it a more attractive long-term opportunity. However, the author recommends waiting for even more reasonable valuations before investing, as the stock's current price still depends heavily on ambitious future visions rather than current business fundamentals.

07/30/2026, 4:05 PM • The Motley Fool

This 1 Company Is By Far the Largest Contributor to Second-Quarter S&P 500 Earnings Growth

Alphabet delivered a massive earnings beat with $9.11 EPS versus $2.90 expected, becoming the largest contributor to S&P 500 earnings growth for Q2. However, much of the beat ($98 billion) came from unrealized gains on equity holdings, particularly a $94 billion gain on its SpaceX stake following the company's June IPO. Without Alphabet's performance, S&P 500 earnings growth would drop from 37.9% to 25.9%. Alphabet also holds a substantial stake in AI company Anthropic, which could see significant gains when it goes public.

07/30/2026, 9:30 AM • The Motley Fool

Should You Buy Rocket Lab Stock After It Just Won Its Largest Launch Contract in History?

Rocket Lab announced a $266 million contract with the U.S. Space Force for 12 suborbital missions with options for six more. Despite the stock falling over 50% from its May peak of $151, the company has $2 billion in backlog and is nearing launch of its reusable Neutron rocket. The analyst views this as a positive catalyst for the space company and recommends it for patient, risk-tolerant investors.

07/30/2026, 8:05 AM • The Motley Fool

There's a 74% Chance SpaceX and Tesla Will Merge by May 2027, According to Kalshi -- but 2 Negatives Don't Make a Positive on Wall Street

Prediction market Kalshi assigns a 74% probability that SpaceX and Tesla will merge by May 2027, fueled by Elon Musk's comments about increasing overlap between the companies during Tesla's earnings call. However, analysts argue a merger would be problematic: SpaceX lacks profitability and is capital-intensive, while Tesla's profits rely heavily on non-sustainable sources like regulatory credits. Combining the two would expose unfulfilled promises baked into both valuations.

07/30/2026, 5:06 AM • The Motley Fool

Even a Successful Starship Launch Wasn't Enough to Lift SpaceX Stock. Investors Are Still Worried About This 1 Thing

SpaceX's successful 13th Starship test flight failed to boost investor sentiment due to concerns over massive AI infrastructure spending. The company allocated 76% of its $10 billion Q1 capex to AI programs, with annual capex accelerating to $20.7 billion in 2025. Investors remain skeptical that these AI investments will generate profits, especially since SpaceX is not yet profitable and trades at a premium valuation (P/S ratio of 77 vs. tech sector average of 7).

07/29/2026, 3:23 PM • The Motley Fool

Tesla Stock Suffered Its Worst Week Since 2022, Falling 18% as Investors Balked at Elon Musk's Robotaxi and AI Spending Plans

Tesla stock plummeted 18% in a single week following Q2 earnings, marking its worst week since 2022. Despite strong revenue exceeding $100 billion in trailing-12-month sales, investors were concerned about shrinking operating margins (down to 1.4%), negative free cash flow of $1.1 billion, and massive capital expenditure plans including $25 billion in capex for the year and plans to borrow up to $30 billion. The sell-off reflects investor skepticism about Musk's ambitious robotaxi and Optimus robot investments, which remain far from commercialization.

07/29/2026, 2:05 PM • The Motley Fool

Nearly 1 Billion SpaceX Shares Unlock On Aug. 6. Here's What Retail Investors Should Do.

SpaceX stock has declined 13% since its IPO at $135 per share, now trading below $117. A major lockup period expiration on August 6 will release approximately 20% of outstanding shares to the public market, potentially quadrupling the float and creating selling pressure. Analysts warn this dilution could further pressure the stock price, though some believe recent declines may already reflect anticipated dilution. Investors should focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term float changes.

07/29/2026, 12:32 PM • The Motley Fool

SpaceX Has Lost Over $1 Trillion in Value Since Its IPO. Here's What Changed.

SpaceX stock has declined from its peak of $225.64 to below $110 since its June IPO, representing a $1 trillion loss in market value. However, the article notes the business fundamentals remain strong with successful Starship launches, new AI compute deals, and bullish analyst coverage with a median price target of $242. The stock decline appears driven by typical post-IPO volatility and insider lockup expiration concerns rather than operational issues.

07/29/2026, 6:22 AM • The Motley Fool

Prediction: 3 Unstoppable Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Will Join the $2 Trillion Club by 2027 (Hint: Not SpaceX)

An analyst predicts that Broadcom, Micron, and Meta Platforms will each reach $2 trillion market valuations by 2027. Broadcom is positioned to cross $2 trillion by end of 2026 driven by custom AI chip demand with expected $100B+ AI semiconductor revenue in 2027. Micron, currently at $940B valuation, could double based on strong memory chip demand and projected 84% revenue growth. Meta, at $1.5T, is expected to surge as its advertising business benefits from AI tools and potential cloud computing expansion.

07/29/2026, 5:15 AM • The Motley Fool

"Hope Is Not an Investment Strategy," Says the Lone Wall Street Analyst Who Hasn't Been Wrong About SpaceX

SpaceX stock has fallen 15% below its IPO price and 50% from its all-time high, with 37 of 38 Wall Street analysts rating it a buy or hold. However, CFRA analyst Keith Snyder's sell rating and $115 price target have proven prescient. Snyder argues that SpaceX's $28.5 trillion addressable market claim is questionable, the company lacks recurring profits despite positive adjusted EBITDA, and Elon Musk's history of unfulfilled promises (Tesla's Level 5 autonomy, robotaxis) suggests investors shouldn't rely on hope when valuing the stock.

07/29/2026, 5:06 AM • The Motley Fool