The Five Biggest Investing Takeaways of November 2022
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Throughout the month of November we had a little bit of everything to help you get ready for the new year:
- What a flashback from the 1970s can teach us about where to put our money in 2023.
- Why this one company could be the Amazon of gene-editing stocks.
- What to make of cryptocurrencies after the collapse of FTX.
- The rejuvenation of experience-enabling stocks, with one to buy and one to avoid.
- And three small-cap stocks flashing buy signals.
I’ll let the team take it from here.
Enjoy your Wednesday — Keith Kaplan, CEO, TradeSmith
Takeaway No. 1: 1970s Flashback: History Is Starting to Rhyme, Offering a Road Map of How to ProfitMark Twain is credited with sharing the wisdom that history doesn’t repeat itself but often rhymes.
It’s a folksy way of saying that while history can’t literally reoccur, mistakes and issues in the present can put us in situations that are similar to ones that have happened in the past.
And to borrow from what Mr. Twain said, we believe this year’s stock market has rhymed an awful lot with the stock market of the 1970s.
Just think about it. When was the last time we dealt with these issues all at the same time?
- A war (the Arab-Israeli conflict of the 1970s, the Russia-Ukraine war today) that roiled global markets and spiked energy prices
- Accelerating inflation due to excessive money printing and government spending
- Growth stock valuations getting crushed while value stocks outperform
Senior Analyst Mike Burnick shares that road map here.
Takeaway No. 2: This Could Be the Amazon of Gene-Editing Stocks – and We’re Going to Show You WhyCancer, blood disorders, blindness, AIDS, cystic fibrosis, muscular dystrophy — those are just some of the first diseases CRISPR could cure.
It’s a complicated technology, but investors can think of CRISPR as a genetic engineering tool that allows scientists to replace disease-causing mutations.
It’s also a very new technology and a small, risky market, only valued at $1.09 billion in 2021.
In comparison, the global biotechnology market was valued at $1.02 trillion.
But it pays to be informed, prepared, and ready to pounce on upcoming opportunities.
Like the folks who invested in an unassuming online bookseller run by a 33-year-old CEO on May 15, 1997.
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) started out selling just one type of product, but in 2019, it surpassed Walmart as the world’s largest retailer.
It lit the fuse for the e-commerce boom and established the now ubiquitous expectation of two-day shipping. As of 2019, 44% of people go directly to Amazon to start searching for products, bypassing search engines.
And the retail investors who recognized Amazon’s potential and invested early became millionaires.
One thousand dollars invested in Amazon’s IPO would have been worth over $2 million by July 2, 2021.
What’s even more mind-boggling is that the wealth Amazon created for shareholders came from online shopping.
Imagine how much money could be made by investing in companies that could provide lifelong cures to genetic conditions.
With the company we’re about to present to you, you might not have to imagine.
Takeaway No. 3: Crypto Might Be Down After the FTX Collapse, But It’s Far from Dead. Here’s Proof.There is no lack of Bitcoin (BTC) eulogies.
A site called 99bitcoins.com tracks when Bitcoin has been declared dead. So far, the cryptocurrency has been declared dead 26 times in 2022.
In total, Bitcoin has been declared dead 466 times since 2010.
And the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange FTX has added plenty of fuel to the fire for crypto skeptics.
While prices reeled and there’s plenty to be concerned about, Senior Crypto Analyst Joe Shew says we’re far from witnessing a crypto funeral.
In fact, he wants to squash the “crypto is dead” myth once and for all.
Takeaway No. 4: Buy This, Not That: Experience-Enabling StocksThe Sunday after Thanksgiving, 2.5 million passengers passed through U.S. airport checkpoints, the highest daily amount since Christmas 2019.
One of the reasons for the increase in travel — aside from the desire to overindulge in turkey and pie — is that people value the whole Thanksgiving experience.
It’s a time to enjoy the company of family and friends, to make new memories and rehash old ones.
In a recent Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) investors call, CEO Brian Chesky captured that sentiment when sharing why his company recently had a strong quarter that exceeded expectations:
“Because many people are now working from home, the mall is now Amazon, the movie theater is now Netflix, people still want to get out of the house. They still want to have meaningful experiences.”
In this edition of Buy This, Not That, we look at two companies that facilitate experiences — one that is considered a “buy” and one that you should avoid.
You can access it here.
Takeaway No. 5: 3 Small-Cap Stocks Flashing Buy SignalsIf you read the first takeaway in this issue of TradeSmith Daily, you’ll see that one of the areas Mike says to invest in for 2023 is small-cap stocks.
These are companies with market caps between $300 million and $2 billion, and we can look to how small-cap stocks performed after the 1973 to 1975 recession as a guide to how they might fare today.
When the economy began to recover in the spring of 1975, it was small-cap stocks that led the way one year later. While large-cap stocks offered a 28% return, small-cap stocks offered more than double that return at 58%.
Putting our Health Indicator to work, we uncovered three companies in our Green Zone, classifying them as current “buys.”
You can read all about them here.
We’ll see you tomorrow.